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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2023-06-26T12:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-06-26T12:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/25727/-1
CME Note: There was a significant SOHO data gap during initial real-time analysis of this CME. This CME is visible to the N/NE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source appears to be a filament eruption visible to the NE in SDO/AIA 304 with associated dimming signature in SDO/AIA 193, and moving/opening field lines visible in SDO/AIA 171. The filament is slow to fully erupt, potentially causing multiple fronts to appear in the coronagraphs. Arrival signature is weak, possibly indicating a glancing blow CME arrival, characterized by separation of magnetic field components, increase in speed and magnetic field intensity from 5 nT to 8 nT and a temporary drop in temperature.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-06-29T08:20Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-06-30T00:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -13404.60 hour(s)
Difference: -15.67 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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